Missouri’s weather has a reputation for unpredictability, which gave rise to the saying, “If you don’t like the weather, wait five minutes and it will change.”

That adage appears to be holding true this spring. The outlook from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center is for drier weather northeast of Missouri and wetter conditions to the southwest, said University of Missouri Extension climatologist Pat Guinan.

“That puts Missouri in a corridor of essentially equal chances of above-, below- and near-normal precipitation,” said Guinan.coin flip

Spring temperatures may be mild in parts of the state.

“There are indications for an enhanced likelihood of above-normal temperatures across much of the northern U.S., and that actually dips down into northern Missouri,” Guinan said.

But for central and southern parts of the state, the Climate Prediction Center is indicating equal chances of above-normal, below-normal and normal temperatures.

So far, the mild weather is visiting much of Missouri. But it’s only March, and Guinan said that could be a problem. Rising soil temperatures are coaxing plants out of dormancy, but a damaging hard freeze is still possible. It’s happened before.

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